I was chatting on the phone with a publicist earlier this week. After he got done with his editorial pitch, the conversation turned to other topics. He and his wife are thinking about downsizing and also moving to a warmer climate… maybe Florida, where there are condo bargains waiting to be snatched up.

It was just one consumer talking, but his optimism was contagious.

This anecdotal evidence reinforces the May numbers released by the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® which now stand at 63.3, up from 57.7 in April. The Present Situation Index increased to 30.2 from 28.2. The Expectations Index improved to 85.3 from 77.4 last month.

According to Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center, consumer confidence posted its third consecutive monthly gain, and although still weak by historical levels, appears to be gaining some traction. “Consumers’ apprehension about current business conditions and the job market continues to slowly dissipate. Consumers’ expectations, on the other hand, have increased sharply over the past three months, propelling the Expectations Index to pre-recession levels (August 2007, 89.2).” Franco added, “The improvement has been fueled primarily by growing optimism about business and labor market conditions. Income expectations, however, remain downbeat.”

So it must have been the perception of a good deal—or getting a lot for their money—that created a stir in Hawaii where dozens of people reportedly camped out for as long as two days outside the sales office of the Pacifica Honolulu condominium project.

They wanted to be among the first to snatch up a good deal. The project is now being developed by San Diego-based OliverMcMillan which has rebranded the condominium and increased the allure of the property.

This is good news since Pacifica Honolulu had stopped construction in the fall of 2008 after the developer lost his construction loan and stopped funding the project with his own equity. The 27th floor of the concrete tower had been poured, and the exterior glass and interior finishes were partially underway.

What good news are you hearing from your consumers?

Everyone thinks Miami is overbuilt, right? But the latest report from Marcus & Millichap shows that Miami apartments may not be doing so badly.

M&M research says that vacancy in Miami-Dade has already been flat for six months. “Some areas where the threat of shadow stock is not as significant continue to record notable results. The average vacancy rate in the Hialeah, North Dade and North Miami/Bayshore submarkets is around 5 percent,” states M&M.

Given such trends, investors are returning in increasing numbers. There is currently about $1.7 billion in distressed apartment properties in Miami-Dade, says M&M. However, opportunities to buy at firesale prices are still very limited. M&M predicts that the Hialeah and Coral Gables submarkets will be the first to see fundamentals rebound this year.

No doubt, industry players wanted to hear what Carol Galante, deputy assistant secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) had to say.  

Galante heads HUD’s multifamily housing programs, and if you want to know about the Obama’s Administration’s proposals to tighten the FHA multifamily insurance programs, Galante would have the answers.   

Members of the audience packed a large conference room at the law offices of Nixon Peabody recently for the first-ever “Brown Bag Luncheon” event sponsored by the New York Housing Conference (NYHC). 

Galante, for many years the president of BRIDGE Housing Corp. before she was appointed to HUD, said that HUD’s “Transforming Rental Assistance” initiative was a top priority. If enacted by Congress, it would provide a common set of rules for all 13 federal rental assistance programs.

Here is an advance look into what real estate executives think, according to DLA Piper’s annual State of the Market Survey.

DLA Piperis bringing together the best minds in real estate for its ninth Global Real Estate Summit. Experts at the conference will diagnose each sector of commercial real estate and compare insights. In correlation with the event, the firm normally release the results of their survey.  

Some of the findings for this year:

-The majority of respondents (60 percent) believe that real estate markets have already reached, or will reach, bottom in 2010.

-Six out of 10 respondents (60 percent) describe themselves as “bearish,” down from a record high of 90 percent in September 2008 when DLA Piper last surveyed the market.

-Six out of 10 respondents (60 percent) do not expect the CMBS market to return in time to help refinance the more than $150 billion in CMBS loans coming due in the next two years.

Yes, more evidence that business sentiment is improving. For more details, check out the report.

© 2011 MHN Blog Suffusion theme by Sayontan Sinha

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